What Is "Real" in Probabilism?

H. Orri Stefansson (Institute for Futures Studies & Stockholm University)

H. Orri Stefánsson (Institute for Future Studies) will give a talk titled "What Is "Real" in Probabilism?" The abstract is below. 

Abstract: This paper defends two related claims about belief. First, the claim that unlike numerical degrees of belief, comparative belief relations are primitive and psychologically real. Second, the claim that the fundamental norm of Probabilism is not that numerical degrees of belief should satisfy the probability axioms, but rather that comparative beliefs should satisfy certain constraints.