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PRODID:-//Grails iCalendar plugin//NONSGML Grails iCalendar plugin//EN
VERSION:2.0
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
METHOD:PUBLISH
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20260417T080847Z
DTSTART;TZID=Australia/Melbourne:20230601T150000
DTEND;TZID=Australia/Melbourne:20230601T170000
SUMMARY:Certain and uncertain inference with indicative conditionals
UID:20260417T180940Z-iCalPlugin-Grails@philevents-web-f5d4878dd-g4ggw
TZID:Australia/Melbourne
LOCATION:250 Victoria Parade\, East Melbourne\, Australia\, 3002
DESCRIPTION:<p>In this paper we develop a trivalent semantics for the truth conditions and the probability of the natural language indicative conditional. Our framework rests on trivalent truth conditions first proposed by W. Cooper and yields two logics of conditional reasoning: (i) a logic C of inference from certain premises\; and (ii) a logic U of inference from uncertain premises. But whereas C is monotonic for the conditional\, U is not\, and whereas C obeys Modus Ponens\, U does not without restrictions. We show correspondences between trivalent and probabilistic representations of inferences in either case\, and we use the distinction between the two systems to cast light\, in particular\, on McGee's puzzle about Modus Ponens. The result is a unified account of the semantics and epistemology of indicative conditionals that can be fruitfully applied to analyzing the validity of conditional inferences</p>\n\n\n\n
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