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PRODID:-//Grails iCalendar plugin//NONSGML Grails iCalendar plugin//EN
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CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
METHOD:PUBLISH
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20260415T064058Z
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/London:20131125T221500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/London:20131125T231500
SUMMARY:Individual Risk: Does it Exist?
UID:20260415T233028Z-iCalPlugin-Grails@philevents-web-f5d4878dd-x5n6c
TZID:Europe/London
LOCATION:Senate House\, London\, United Kingdom
DESCRIPTION:<p>Abstract: <a  href="http://goo.gl/Dg4X6I"  target="_blank"><u>http://goo.gl/Dg4X6I</u></a> <br> Writing recently about her decision to have a preventive double mastectomy\, Angelina Jolie said: "My doctors estimated that I had an 87 percent risk of breast cancer and a 50 percent risk of ovarian cancer\, although the risk is different in the case of each woman." Where do such figures come from\, and what if anything do they mean? Is it even possible to assign risk values to individual events?&nbsp\; I shall consider various statistical and philosophical attempts to grapple with these issues.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n\n<p>Tue 10 Dec<br>Richard Bradley\, LSE<br>Counterfactuals and Chances</p>\n<p>Directions: <a target="_blank">http://www.london.ac.uk/fileadmin/documents/home/map.pdf</a></p>\n<p>Abstracts: <a target="_blank">http://goo.gl/KZKD8a</a></p>\n<p>Convenor: Prof Mauricio Suarez: <a target="_blank">Mauricio.suarez@sas.ac.uk</a>.</p>
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