Unsharp Best System ChancesLuke Fenton-Glynn (UCL)
January 28, 2014, 10:15am - 11:45am
Institute of Philosophy, University of London
London
United Kingdom
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INSTITUTE OF PHILOSOPHY
Probabilities, Propensities and Conditionals Seminar
Tues 28 Jan, 5.15pm Room 243, second floor, Senate House, WC1
Luke Fenton-Glynn (UCL)
Unsharp Best System Chances
Abstract: The worst problem about the Best System Analysis of laws and chances is that there aren’t uniquely appropriate measures of the theoretical virtues such as simplicity and strength, or a uniquely correct exchange rate at which these virtues trade off in the determination of a best system. Plausibly, there is no robustly best system for our world: none that comes out best under any reasonable measures of the virtues and exchange rate between them. Some philosophers have argued that this entails that there are no Best System laws or chances in our world. I argue that this doesn't follow: rather, it follows that (some of) the Best System chances for our world are unsharp. (The situation with respect to laws is more complex.)
Full Series 2013/14: http://philosophy.sas.ac.uk/ProbabilitiesPropensititesCondidtionals201314
Admission Free. All welcome.
.
Forthcoming events of the Institute appear here:
http://events.sas.ac.uk/ip/events/list
Probabilities, Propensities and Conditionals Seminar
Tues 28 Jan, 5.15pm Room 243, second floor, Senate House, WC1
Luke Fenton-Glynn (UCL)
Unsharp Best System Chances
Abstract: The worst problem about the Best System Analysis of laws and chances is that there aren’t uniquely appropriate measures of the theoretical virtues such as simplicity and strength, or a uniquely correct exchange rate at which these virtues trade off in the determination of a best system. Plausibly, there is no robustly best system for our world: none that comes out best under any reasonable measures of the virtues and exchange rate between them. Some philosophers have argued that this entails that there are no Best System laws or chances in our world. I argue that this doesn't follow: rather, it follows that (some of) the Best System chances for our world are unsharp. (The situation with respect to laws is more complex.)
Full Series 2013/14: http://philosophy.sas.ac.uk/ProbabilitiesPropensititesCondidtionals201314
Admission Free. All welcome.
.
Forthcoming events of the Institute appear here:
http://events.sas.ac.uk/ip/events/list
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