LTT: Aydin Mohseni - A Bayesian Reduction of Causation in Causal Models
Aydin Mohseni (Carnegie Mellon University)

September 19, 2025, 12:00pm - 1:00pm
The Center for Philosophy of Science, University of Pittsburgh

1117 Cathedral of Learning - 11th Floor
University of Pittsburgh, 4200 Fifth Avenue
Pittsburgh 15260
United States

This will be an accessible event, including organized related activities

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University of Pittsburgh

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The Center for Philosophy of Science at the University of Pittsburgh invites you to join us for our Lunch Time Talk. Attend in person at 1117 Cathedral of Learning or visit our live stream on YouTube at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCrRp47ZMXD7NXO3a9Gyh2sg.

LTT:  Aydin Mohseni 

Friday, September 19th  @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm EST

Title: A Bayesian Reduction of Causation in Causal Models

Abstract: 

The ontological status and explanatory role of causation has been a perennial puzzle. In recent work, Pearl and Mackenzie (2018) advance the thesis of a causal hierarchy (PCH) and posit the irreducibility of causal claims to purely probabilistic ones. Bareinboim et al. (2022) claim to have proven this irreducibility in the context of structural causal models (SCMs). We challenge this claim and demonstrate a general reduction of interventional propositions to probabilistic ones within the same context of SCMs and proffer a de Finetti-style representation theorem for causal learning and reasoning.

This talk will be available online:

Zoom: https://pitt.zoom.us/j/98127984221
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCrRp47ZMXD7NXO3a9Gyh2sg

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