Probabilistic Proof of an External WorldNicholas DiBella (Stanford University)
Nicholas DiBella (Stanford) will present "Probabilistic Proof of an External World" at 12:40 in G14 Old Quad.Abstract: I present a probabilistic argument against skepticism about the external world. As I will argue, there are many more ways---indeed, infinitely many times more ways---for there to exist an external world than not. Since the number of ways in which a given proposition can be true has important bearing on how confident I should be in that proposition, I will argue that I should be much more confident that there exists an external world than not. In particular, I will argue that I should be at least 99.99999% confident that an external world of some sort exists.
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