Foundations of a Probabilistic Theory of Causal StrengthJan Sprenger (University of Turin)
Sala Enzo Paci
via Festa del Perdono 7
Milano
Italy
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Abstract:
This talk develops axiomatic foundations for a probabilistic
theory of causal strength. I proceed in three steps: First, I motivate
the choice of causal Bayes nets as a framework for defining and
comparing measures of causal strength. Second, I prove several
representation theorems for probabilistic measures of causal
strength---that is, I demonstrate how these measures can be derived from
a set of plausible adequacy conditions. Third, I use these results to
argue for a specific measure of causal strength. I conclude by
discussing my results and outlining future research avenues.
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