Historical Counterfactuals

Ever since Lewis' celebrated possible worlds account, counterfactuals have been deeply involved with the notion of time. These days there are alternative formulations of the semantics of counterfactuals, some of which focus on the complex role of probabilities (Leitgeb) and of formal branching-time models of indeterminism (Mueller). The aim of the conference is to bring together researchers interested in the role of time in the formal treatment of counterfactuals.

Schedule:

09:30-10:30 - Jan-Willem Romeijn & Ronnie Hermens (Groningen) "Belief dynamics for conditionals"

10:45-11:45 - Sylvia Wenmackers (Groningen) "Infinitesimal turn in a garden of forking paths"

12:00-13:00 - Alex Malpass (Bristol) "Historical Similarity"

14:00-15:00 - Aviezer Tucker (Austin) "Historiographic Counterfactuals and Historical Evidence"

15:15-16:15 - Thomas Mueller (Utrecht) "On the role of space-time for counterfactuals"

16:30-17:30 - Hannes Leitgeb (Munich) "A New Lottery Paradox for Counterfactuals"

Invited discussants include Jacek Wawer and Leszek Wronski.

Registration is free, but please contact Samantha Pollock (c to register. Contact Alex Malpass ([email protected]) for any further information.

We have Analysis support available to help subsidise accommodation expenses for graduate attendees. Please contact soon, as funds are limited.

All are welcome.