Evidence, Causality, and Sequential Choice

Gerard Joseph Rothfus (University of California, Irvine)

Gerard Rothfus, University of California, Irvine

Evidence, Causality, and Sequential Choice

This talk explores the significance of sequential choice arguments for the evidential vs. causal decision theory debate. After considering Arif Ahmed’s recent argument that causalists fall prey to dynamic inconsistency, I show, using an example due to Brian Skyrms, that evidentialists fare little better in this regard. I then examine the normative import of these results and consider various ways those concerned to make causalists (or evidentialists) dynamically consistent might proceed.