The Transformation Game

Chris Meyns (University of Cambridge), Chris Meyns

Abstract:

Can we decide rationally about major life events, such as having a child, or joining a revolution? L.A. Paul argues that we cannot, because such events are transformative: they change what we know and who we are. Transformation prevents us from determining which alternative has the highest expected utility. Here I show how transformation does not undermine rational decisions. By partitioning outcomes based on possible future valences, we can determine our preferences, calculate expected utility, and make a decision. I consider three objections, and show that none undermines my solution. Decisions about transformative experiences can be made rationally.